Rankings Machinery & automation Alfa Laval

Alfa Laval

Machinery & automation · SwedenRank 164 of 829Prices 3 Nov 2026Model 1.4

A strong score: the model found few serious problems, but analysts see limited upside from here.

Biggest deductions

  • Multiples vs own history−7
  • FCF yield−4
  • Shipbuilding cycle−3

Strengths

  • Order intake+2
  • Service+1
  • Pricing power+1

How the score is built

From 100 to 77, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
77Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
537.20 SEK
Median analyst target
610.00 SEK
Upside to median
+13.6%
Analysts
17
Target range
443.00 – 675.00 SEK
52-week change
+19%
P/E (trailing)
27.3
Forward P/E
22.6
PEG
1.84

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 3 findings
−6 of −30
  • ROIC
    ROIC has fallen to 14.2% TTM from 16.8% in 2025 and 16.3% in 2024, after acquisitions of SEK 9.4bn; a P/TBV of 31.7 shows that a large part of equity is now goodwill.
    −2
  • Quality of growth
    Revenue grew only 5.3% in 2024, 4.1% in 2025 and 3.9% TTM (organic 5.9% in Q2), and EPS is only +2.1% TTM. Acquisition-driven growth with no clear growth in earnings per share.
    −2
  • Capital allocation (Fives cryogenics)
    The largest acquisition in years (Fives' cryogenics, SEK 9.4bn) is not yet delivering: management says low capacity utilisation in parts of Welded and Cryo weighed on the result in Q2.
    −2

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 2 findings
−11 of −35
  • Multiples vs own history
    Forward P/E 25.1 vs 19.9–22.1 in 2022–2025 (26.7 in 2021), trailing P/E 28.5 vs 23.3–27.6 in 2022–2025, P/B 5.1 vs 3.5–4.7 (highest in the period) and EV/EBITDA 17.4 vs 15.3–16.4 in 2022–2025. The stock is +34% over 52 weeks while EPS is +2%.
    −7
  • FCF yield
    FCF yield 2.7% TTM (P/FCF 36.7) vs 3.4–4.9% in 2023–2025; FCF fell from SEK 9.4bn in 2024 to 6.4bn TTM, and analysts expect only 7.0bn in 2026 (3.0%).
    −4

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 3 findings
−6 of −35
  • Margin pressure
    The adjusted EBITA margin fell to 17.0% from 17.8% in Q2 because of a negative mix in Energy (less service, more capital sales), higher-than-expected provisions, energy inflation and restructuring costs.
    −2
  • Shipbuilding cycle
    Marine orders (cargo pumps) are now booked all the way into 2028, and management itself warns against extrapolating the growth, citing speculative orders and new players in the shipyard market – signs of a mature cycle. Order intake is expected lower in Q3.
    −3
  • Currency
    Negative currency effects hit the result in Q2; with costs in Sweden and sales globally, a stronger krona continues to weigh on the margin.
    −1

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 3 findings
+4 of +15
  • Order intake
    Record order intake of SEK 22.2bn in Q2, +35% (29% organic), and sales rose 8% (6% organic) to SEK 18.1bn.
    +2
  • Service
    Service sales grew 10% organically in Q2, and service makes up over 40% of the Marine division.
    +1
  • Pricing power
    Price increases from 1 July 2026 to cover energy inflation, and the gross margin has risen from 32.8% (2023) to 36.3% TTM.
    +1

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
Cyclical = no: earnings are spread across Energy, Food & Water and Marine/Ocean with a significant service share, but Marine follows the shipbuilding cycle, which is currently strong. ROIC and FCF are affected by the acquisition of Fives' cryogenics business (SEK 9.4bn in 2025). Q3 report 27 Oct. 2026.

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