Rankings Machinery & automation Epiroc

Epiroc

Machinery & automation · SwedenRank 164 of 829Prices 3 Nov 2026Model 1.4

A strong score: the model found few serious problems, but analysts see limited upside from here.

Biggest deductions

  • Multiples vs own history and peers−8
  • ROIC and earnings trend−5
  • FCF yield−3

Strengths

  • Order intake+2
  • Recurring revenue+1
  • Balance sheet and cash flow+1

How the score is built

From 100 to 77, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
77Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
242.20 SEK
Median analyst target
287.50 SEK
Upside to median
+18.7%
Analysts
21
Target range
230.00 – 340.00 SEK
52-week change
+20%
P/E (trailing)
31.5
Forward P/E
24.2
PEG
1.80

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 2 findings
−7 of −30
  • ROIC and earnings trend
    ROIC has fallen from 32.7% (2021) and 27.8% (2022) to 17.2% TTM; the operating margin from 22.5% to 20.4%, and EPS is 7.30 TTM vs 7.81 in 2023. Bigger, not stronger.
    −5
  • Quality of growth
    Revenue has been flat since 2023 (SEK 60.3bn → 62.4bn TTM). In Q2 growth came from equipment (+30% organic orders), while the high-margin Tools & Attachments grew only 4% organically to 3.9bn, and service had fewer mid-life upgrades.
    −2

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 2 findings
−11 of −35
  • Multiples vs own history and peers
    P/E 35.1 (TTM) vs 24.8–28.5 in 2022–2025; forward P/E 26.7 at the top of 23.8–27.2; EV/EBITDA 19.8 vs 16.2–17.8; EV/EBIT 24.0 vs 18.4–20.5. More expensive than Sandvik (forward P/E 19.1) and FLSmidth (17.8) after +37% in a year.
    −8
  • FCF yield
    FCF yield 2.9% and P/FCF 34.7 (TTM); analysts expect lower FCF in 2026 (SEK 8.2bn) than in 2025 (8.7bn).
    −3

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 3 findings
−5 of −35
  • Mining cycle
    Orders fell 9% organically from Q1 to Q2, and demand rests on 'historically high' copper and gold prices; equipment orders, the most cyclical part, drove growth.
    −3
  • Product mix
    Equipment rose to 46% of revenue from 44%, and management was asked about a negative mix effect on the margin from the high equipment invoicing in H2.
    −1
  • Currency
    Currency took 1% off revenue in Q2 and was a headwind to EBIT, especially in Tools & Attachments.
    −1

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 3 findings
+4 of +15
  • Order intake
    Orders +13% organic to SEK 17,305m in Q2, large orders 720m (230), and operating profit rose 17% to 3,316m (margin 19.9%).
    +2
  • Recurring revenue
    The aftermarket makes up 64% of revenue (service 41%, tools 23%), supported by an ageing machine fleet.
    +1
  • Balance sheet and cash flow
    Operating cash flow SEK 1,902m in Q2 (1,104) and net debt/EBITDA 0.75x (0.82).
    +1

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
cyclical set to false: 64% of revenue is aftermarket (service 41%, tools 23%), which follows mine production volumes rather than metal prices; equipment orders (46% of revenue) are the cyclical part and are scored in T3. The same assessment as FLSmidth. Scored on the A share (EPI.A). Multiple history only 2021–2025; 2021 (the first year after listing, P/E 37) is excluded. Insider trades and litigation have not been examined in depth.

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