Rankings Financial data & insurance broking Pershing Square Holdings

Pershing Square Holdings

Financial data & insurance broking · United KingdomRank 137 of 829Prices 3 Nov 2026Model 1.4

A strong score: the model found few serious problems, but analysts see limited upside from here.

Biggest deductions

  • NAV performance vs market−6
  • Concentration and leverage−3
  • Capital allocation−2

Strengths

  • Management ownership+2
  • Long-term return+1

How the score is built

From 100 to 79, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
79Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
3,854 GBX
Median analyst target
–
Upside to median
–
Analysts
none
Target range
–
52-week change
−20%
P/E (trailing)
n/a
Forward P/E
n/a
PEG
n/a

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 3 findings
−10 of −30
  • NAV performance vs market
    NAV per share fell 12.6% in H1 2026 (S&P 500 +10.2%) and is −6.9% year to date as of 13 Oct 2026; a lag of over 20 percentage points in the half-year, after 2025 delivered +20.9% vs 17.9%.
    −6
  • Capital allocation
    The biggest losses in H1 came from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Uber and Meta, and the failed attempt to take over Universal Music; the loss on investments was USD 1.89bn vs a gain of USD 2.44bn a year earlier.
    −2
  • Fees
    Management fee 1.5% and performance fee 16% of the gain above the high water mark (minus a reduction); a high fee level for a concentrated portfolio of large, liquid US stocks that shareholders could own directly.
    −2

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 1 finding
−1 of −35
  • Discount to net asset value
    The discount is about 36% (3,802 GBX vs NAV of 59.51 GBP) vs 34.6% in June 2025, 34.0% in June 2026 and a 12-month average of about 29%; at the wide end of its own history, but the discount has been persistent and structural (fees, key-person risk), so it will not close on its own.
    −1

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 3 findings
−7 of −35
  • Concentration and leverage
    Only 13 long positions at year-end (17 in July 2026) and historically about 115% net long exposure; bond debt equal to debt/equity of 0.28. A single failure in a large position hits NAV hard.
    −3
  • Political risk (Fannie/Freddie)
    A large part of the H1 loss came from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, whose value depends on a political decision to release them from government conservatorship; the outcome is controlled by Washington, not by the companies' operations.
    −2
  • Governance and key person
    The return depends on Bill Ackman alone, who also runs Howard Hughes (converted into an insurance holding company) and other Pershing entities; the chairman steps down at year-end, and the board calls the discount a priority without having announced new measures beyond buybacks.
    −2

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 2 findings
+3 of +15
  • Management ownership
    Insiders (the Pershing Square manager and employees) own 23.9% of the shares; management has a large personal stake in NAV performance.
    +2
  • Long-term return
    Annual return of 15.9% since 2004 vs 10.7% for the S&P 500 according to the 2025 annual report.
    +1

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
Investment company: revenue, earnings, ROE/ROIC and P/E are fair-value changes on the portfolio and not meaningful; the PEG formula therefore gives 'n/a', and there is no analyst coverage at stockanalysis (forecast 404). Valued at a discount to net asset value (NAV 78.86 USD / 59.51 GBP as of 13 Oct 2026; price 3,802 GBX on 16 Oct gives about a 36% discount). Scored on the GBX line PSH in London (quote/lon/PSH); there is also a USD line (PSHD), and it has not been checked which line Nordnet shows. The portfolio companies' own findings (Uber, Brookfield, Alphabet, Amazon, Hilton, Fannie/Freddie etc.) are not counted, only PSH's exposure. Buybacks (share count -3.2%) and dividend are financed by the portfolio, not by FCF, and therefore give no plus. The full discount history 2016-2024 and ongoing charges have not been found; position weights have not been found. Industry set to 'Finance, data & insurance brokerage' like Investor AB and Exor.

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