Rankings Software, cloud & internet Tieto

Tieto

Software, cloud & internet · FinlandRank 472 of 829Prices 3 Nov 2026Model 1.4

A good business with a real question mark: the price, a crack, or both.

Biggest deductions

  • Quality of growth−7
  • Downgrade−4
  • Margin−3

Strengths

  • Execution on margin+2
  • Insider buying+1

How the score is built

From 100 to 56, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
56Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
18.63 EUR
Median analyst target
18.55 EUR
Upside to median
−0.4%
Analysts
8
Target range
16.10 – 22.50 EUR
52-week change
+1%
P/E (trailing)
9.5
Forward P/E
11.3
PEG
4.61

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 4 findings
−15 of −30
  • Quality of growth
    Organic revenue decline of 5% in Q2 2026 and guidance for the full year 2026 cut to −5 to −3%; Tech Consulting has shrunk from EUR 852m to 728m since 2023, and analysts expect −5.8% in 2026. The company is getting smaller year by year.
    −7
  • Margin
    Adjusted EBITA margin rose 5.5 pp to 14.9% in Q2, but solely via a cost program (EUR 130m in savings) and not via growth or pricing power; gross margin is only 23%, and reported earnings were negative in both 2024 and 2025.
    −3
  • Future segment
    Digital consulting operations (about 40% of revenue) are exposed to AI-driven price and volume pressure and weak Nordic IT demand; old contracts are running out.
    −3
  • Capital allocation
    Vertical software, which the company itself calls the core, is being sold (Edlevo and HR & Payroll in Indtech) to fund buybacks of EUR 90m on top of an ongoing programme of EUR 150m – short-term returns rather than strengthening the business.
    −2

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 2 findings
−2 of −35
  • Multiples vs own history
    Forward P/E 10.6 is below its own history (11.5–12.9 in 2021–2024 and 18.5 in 2025); EV/FCF 9.9 vs 10–17 previously. Cheap, but with a falling revenue base.
    −1
  • Peers
    Nordic IT consultancies generally trade at low multiples amid weak demand; Tieto's discount is not significant relative to a sector with negative growth.
    −1

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 3 findings
−8 of −35
  • Downgrade
    Inside information in July 2026: organic growth outlook for 2026 lowered from -2–0% to -5 to -3%; the profitability target was maintained.
    −4
  • Recurring one-off items
    Net loss of EUR 63 and 141m in 2024 and 2025 despite a positive operating result – write-downs and restructurings recur year after year, and the TTM result is now conversely lifted by disposal gains.
    −2
  • Dividend
    The dividend was cut 41% (EUR 1.50 to 0.88) for 2025, and the payout ratio is 117% of reported earnings; buybacks plus dividend (EUR 226m TTM) exceed FCF after leasing (approx. EUR 205m).
    −2

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 2 findings
+3 of +15
  • Execution on margin
    Adjusted EBITA margin of 14.9% in Q2 2026 (+5.5 pp) and maintained margin guidance of 14.8–15.8% despite lower growth; net debt fell from EUR 905m to 375m since 2024.
    +2
  • Insider buying
    CEO Endre Rangnes bought 35,000 shares at approx. EUR 14.67 in July 2025 shortly after taking office.
    +1

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
Formerly Tietoevry; Tech Services has been divested, so 2021–2023 in stockanalysis contains a larger group (the revenue decline of 34% in 2024 is reclassification); TTM operating result and trailing P/E 9.8 are inflated by gains on the sale of Edlevo and HR & Payroll – forward P/E is used; stockanalysis' FCF is before leasing (about EUR 38m); the Nordnet line is Helsinki (EUR), the stock also trades in Stockholm and Oslo

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