Rankings Food, drinks & restaurants adidas

adidas

Food, drinks & restaurants · GermanyRank 15 of 829Prices 3 Nov 2026Model 1.4

A strong score: the model found few serious problems, but analysts see limited upside from here.

Biggest deductions

  • Margin−5
  • Inventory and fashion risk−4
  • Capital allocation−3

Strengths

  • Broad-based growth and pricing power+3
  • Raised guidance+1

How the score is built

From 100 to 91, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
91Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
169.50 EUR
Median analyst target
198.00 EUR
Upside to median
+16.8%
Analysts
31
Target range
160.00 – 245.00 EUR
52-week change
+3%
P/E (trailing)
18.4
Forward P/E
15.2
PEG
0.73

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 3 findings
−10 of −30
  • Margin
    Operating margin 8.3% TTM vs 9.4% in 2021 and 9.0% at Nike; in Q2 the operating margin fell 0.7pp to 8.5% despite 14% growth, and EPS of EUR 2.10 came in below the consensus of 2.38. Sales guidance was raised, but operating profit was held at about EUR 2.3bn – more revenue does not mean more profit.
    −5
  • ROIC
    ROIC 14.8% TTM (WACC 9.3%) has fallen from 16.4% in 2025 and is below 18.1% in 2021; satisfactory, but not top among brands (Nike 19.6%).
    −2
  • Capital allocation
    Shareholder distribution of about EUR 1.5bn in 2026 (2 × 500m buybacks + 491m dividend) vs FCF after leases of EUR 1.29bn TTM and −255m in 2025; net debt has risen from EUR 3.1bn to 4.4bn since 2024.
    −3

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 3 findings
−4 of −35
  • Multiples vs own history
    Forward P/E 14.1 and EV/EBITDA 9.2 are the lowest in the 2021–2025 period (17.3–67.6 and 13.8–48.5), but the history is inflated by the Yeezy crisis; P/FCF 13.3 vs 15.0–18.0 in normal years is only a moderate discount.
    −1
  • Peers
    Forward P/E 14.1 vs 21.8 for Nike and EV/EBITDA 9.2 vs 11.4; the discount reflects that Nike is in the middle of a recovery, and Puma is loss-making – there is no healthy peer to measure against.
    −1
  • Absolute price level
    FCF yield 7.5% before leases, but only about 5.0% after leases (1.29bn of EUR 25.7bn); earnings yield 5.4% and dividend yield 1.9%.
    −2

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 3 findings
−8 of −35
  • Tariffs and the US
    Direct and indirect US tariffs as well as higher freight and procurement costs are headwinds for the rest of 2026; guidance does not include the possible tariff refund of USD 250–300m, which is uncertain.
    −3
  • Inventory and fashion risk
    Inventory rose 13% to EUR 5.97bn and working capital 18% up to VM; demand rests heavily on retro sneakers such as Samba and Gazelle, where a turn in the fashion trend could cause write-downs and discounts.
    −4
  • Management change
    New CFO Birgit Kretschmer (most recently CFO at C&A) took office on 1 September 2026 after Harm Ohlmeyer's ten years as CFO – amid a period of margin pressure.
    −1

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 2 findings
+4 of +15
  • Broad-based growth and pricing power
    Record revenue of 6.74 bn EUR in Q2 (+14% currency-adjusted) with growth in all regions: North America +17%, China +15%, Latin America +28%, Europe +6%; gross margin rose 0.8 pp to 52.5% on better prices and fewer discounts.
    +3
  • Raised guidance
    Sales growth for 2026 raised from high single digits to 9–10% currency-adjusted; operating profit, however, is only maintained.
    +1

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
Sportswear and footwear do not fit the industry list: placed under 'Consumer: food, beverages & restaurants' as the nearest consumer category. Own multiple history is distorted by the Yeezy exit and the loss year 2023, so forward P/E 2022–2024 (35–68) is not a meaningful basis for comparison. Q2 figures include a one-off refund of US tariffs in gross margin. Insider trades, competition from On/Hoka/Nike and China risk have not been investigated (web limit hit). Q3 report 29 Oct 2026.

Also in Food, drinks & restaurants

The highest scores in the same industry.

Whole industry