Rankings Food, drinks & restaurants Puuilo

Puuilo

Food, drinks & restaurants · FinlandRank 164 of 829Prices 3 Nov 2026Model 1.4

A strong score: the model found few serious problems, but analysts see limited upside from here.

Biggest deductions

  • Multiples vs own history−6
  • Absolute price level−3
  • Competition and consumer−3

Strengths

  • Raised guidance+3
  • Pricing power and rising returns+2

How the score is built

From 100 to 77, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
77Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
18.46 EUR
Median analyst target
18.20 EUR
Upside to median
−1.4%
Analysts
4
Target range
15.50 – 19.10 EUR
52-week change
+32%
P/E (trailing)
24.0
Forward P/E
21.1
PEG
1.21

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 2 findings
−3 of −30
  • Moat and source of growth
    Almost all growth is in Finland via new stores (three opened in the first half, eight planned in Finland in the year); with an already nationwide network there are fewer white spots, and the department store concept (building materials, car, garden, leisure) has low differentiation against Finnish chains such as Motonet, Tokmanni and the building supply stores.
    −2
  • Capital allocation
    Dividends (EUR 57.3m TTM) plus buybacks (4.9m) equal the whole of FCF after leasing (approx. EUR 61.6m), and in the 2025/26 financial year the payout ratio was 105%; equity is only EUR 75m vs 167m in debt incl. leasing.
    −1

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 3 findings
−10 of −35
  • Multiples vs own history
    Forward P/E 18.9 is above its entire own history (14.7–17.4 in 2022–2026), and EV/EBIT 17.6 is above the range 13.2–17.2. Trailing P/E 21.8 vs 15.2–21.3. The share price is up 40% since January.
    −6
  • Peers
    Forward P/E 18.9 vs 9.7 for Tokmanni and 18.4 for Kesko; the premium to the nearest Finnish discount competitor is large, but partly justified by an operating margin of 18% vs Tokmanni's about 5%.
    −1
  • Absolute price level
    FCF yield after leasing about 4.3% (P/FCF about 23) and earnings yield 4.6%; the analysts' median price target (18.20 EUR) is only 7% above the share price.
    −3

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 2 findings
−5 of −35
  • Competition and consumer
    All earnings come from the Finnish consumer, and competitor Tokmanni is running a low-price programme; Tokmanni's like-for-like was only +0.3% in Q2, so the market is under pressure.
    −3
  • Execution in Sweden
    Swedish pilot with about 10 stores (Örebro late 2026, Sundsvall in 2027): Inderes points to more and larger competitors with denser store networks, difficult store locations and campaigns that press the margin, and does not expect significant profit from Sweden in the strategy period to 2030. The expansion raises the cost base and forecast uncertainty.
    −2

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 2 findings
+5 of +15
  • Raised guidance
    Positive profit warning 1/9: 2026 guidance raised to revenue 495–515m EUR (from 480–510) and adjusted EBITA 87–97m EUR (from 80–90); Q2 revenue +12.8%, like-for-like +6.1% and adjusted EBITA +19.8%.
    +3
  • Pricing power and rising returns
    The gross margin has risen from 35.0% to 39.0% since 2022/23 (39.2% in Q2 driven by own brands), the operating margin from 15.9% to 18.2% and ROIC from 22% to 33% – stronger, not just bigger.
    +2

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
Low-price retail does not fit in the industry list (placed under food/consumer like Tokmanni). Fiscal year February-January; Q2 = May-July 2026. Stockanalysis' FCF (EUR 77.7m TTM) is before lease payments of EUR 16.1m; corrected FCF is about EUR 61.6m (P/FCF about 23). P/B (18.9) is meaningless due to low equity after high dividends. Only 4 analysts. Insider trades and ownership structure not investigated.

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