Rankings Food, drinks & restaurants Inditex

Inditex

Food, drinks & restaurants · SpainRank 208 of 829Prices 2 Nov 2026Model 1.4

A strong score: the model found few serious problems, but analysts see limited upside from here.

Biggest deductions

  • Multiples vs own history−4
  • The Middle East and costs−3
  • Quality of growth−2

Strengths

  • Net cash+2
  • Pricing power+2
  • Strong trading after the period+1

How the score is built

From 100 to 75, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
75Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 2 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
57.50 EUR
Median analyst target
61.00 EUR
Upside to median
+6.1%
Analysts
24
Target range
41.50 – 67.00 EUR
52-week change
+20%
P/E (trailing)
28.0
Forward P/E
25.4
PEG
2.63

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 2 findings
−3 of −30
  • Quality of growth
    Revenue growth has slowed from 17.5% (FY2022) and 10.4% (FY2023) to 7.5% and only 3.2% in FY2025; H1 2026 +7.6% (9.2% at constant exchange rates). Growth comes with fewer stores, so it depends on larger stores and online rather than new markets.
    −2
  • Capital allocation
    Capital expenditure has doubled from EUR 1.03bn (FY2022) to EUR 2.2bn a year (logistics expansion) plus EUR 0.2bn extraordinary for a Barcelona campus; FCF was flat at EUR 7.0–7.1bn in FY2024–FY2025, even though operating profit rose 11%.
    −1

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 2 findings
−6 of −35
  • Multiples vs own history
    Trailing P/E 25.9 vs. 21.6–28.0 in FY2022–FY2025 and forward P/E 23.5 vs. 21.0–25.9; P/S 4.0 vs. 2.7–4.3; P/B 9.3 is the highest in the period (5.2–8.4). The price is in the upper half of a range that has itself risen sharply since 2022, while growth has slowed.
    −4
  • FCF yield
    FCF after lease payments (8.27 − 1.87 bn EUR) is about EUR 6.4bn, equal to an FCF yield of about 3.9% of the market cap of EUR 166bn – vs 5.9–7.3% before leases in FY2022–FY2024.
    −2

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 4 findings
−8 of −35
  • The Middle East and costs
    The Q2 profit disappointed because the conflict in the Middle East increased freight costs; operating costs rose 8.3% vs sales of 7.6%, the gross margin in Q2 was 56.7% vs a higher expectation, and the stock fell about 3%. Around 480 franchise stores are located in the Middle East.
    −3
  • Competition
    Shein and Temu undercut Zara, H&M and Mango with young, price-sensitive customers; Shein had revenue of about 41.8 bn USD in 2025 and has thus nearly caught up with Inditex, which responds by moving Zara upmarket.
    −2
  • Controlling shareholder
    The Ortega family's Pontegadea controls about 59% of the shares, so minority shareholders have limited influence, and free float is only about 1.1 bn of 3.1 bn shares.
    −2
  • Supply chain
    Unlike H&M and Primark, Inditex does not publish its full supplier list, and investors are pressing for transparency, so risks in the factory chain (working conditions, forced labour) are hard to assess.
    −1

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 3 findings
+5 of +15
  • Net cash
    Net cash of EUR 4.2bn (10.4bn in cash vs 6.2bn in debt, largely leases); interest cover 22x.
    +2
  • Pricing power
    Gross margin rose 40 bp to a record 58.7% in H1 2026 despite higher freight costs, and has risen from 54.7% in FY2022 to 56.3% in FY2025; ROIC 46%.
    +2
  • Strong trading after the period
    In-store and online sales at constant exchange rates rose 9% from 1 Aug to 7 Sept 2026, so H1's growth level (9.2%) has been maintained into the autumn season.
    +1

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
Fiscal year Feb–Jan (FY2025 = year to 31 Jan 2026). Stockanalysis' FCF of 8.27 bn EUR is before lease payments of 1.87 bn EUR (IFRS 16); FCF after leases is about 6.4 bn EUR, and the dividend (5.34 bn) plus buybacks (0.16 bn) are below that. EV/EBITDA is also inflated by lease depreciation. The share count is effectively unchanged (the buyback of 161 m EUR covers employee shares), so no plus has been given for buybacks. The insider share of 5% at stockanalysis is wrong: Pontegadea (Ortega) owns about 59%. Price targets were updated after the H1 results on 9 Sept. Industry: no apparel category in the list – nearest chosen.

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