Rankings Defence, aerospace & space Axvik

Axvik

Defence, aerospace & space · SwedenRank 664 of 829Prices 3 Nov 2026Model 1.4

The model found several serious problems. That does not mean the stock will fall.

Biggest deductions

  • Peers−8
  • Governance−6
  • Quality of growth−5

Strengths

  • Broad customer base+2
  • Order book+2

How the score is built

From 100 to 42, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
42Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
53.70 SEK
Median analyst target
–
Upside to median
–
Analysts
none
Target range
–
52-week change
–
P/E (trailing)
46.6
Forward P/E
n/a
PEG
n/a

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 4 findings
−16 of −30
  • Margin
    Adjusted EBITA margin (pro forma) has swung between 11.5% and 22.1%; 16.7% in 2025. Net profit was only SEK 20m on 534m of revenue (3.7%), and the company's own target is just >15% EBITA.
    −4
  • Quality of growth
    The group was formed in March 2025 and built through three acquisitions (Turntime 2021, Slingsby 2025, Pentaxia June 2026). Growth of 14% (19% currency-adjusted) is pro forma, as if all companies had been owned for the whole period; reported 2025 revenue was only SEK 207m.
    −5
  • Moat
    Niche positions and long qualifications in defence programmes, but the company is a small subcontractor (302 employees) of composite parts and baggage systems to Lockheed Martin, MBDA, Thales and airlines.
    −3
  • Capital allocation
    A serial acquirer, but the prices paid for Slingsby and Turntime are not in the prospectus, and an implied non-cash share issue of about SEK 300m is not described. Return on invested capital cannot be assessed.
    −4

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 3 findings
−18 of −35
  • Multiples vs own history
    No trading history of its own (listed 21/9/2026). The price has risen from the SEK 55 offer price to 67 in a week, so EV/EBITA on pro forma 2025 has gone from 14.6x to about 17.8x.
    −5
  • Peers
    EV/EBITDA about 15x (EV 1.59bn / trailing 12-month EBITDA 107m) vs Karnell 9.5x, Tången 10.8x and Argo Defence 13.9x at their listings.
    −8
  • Earnings base
    The market value of SEK 1.44bn is about 72 times pro forma 2025 net profit (20m). The IPO's P/E of 21 was based on an estimate and adjusted pro forma figures.
    −5

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 6 findings
−22 of −35
  • Governance
    Erik Selin and Martin Åberg control over 70% via Chirp and Grating and have a shareholder agreement; 26% of owners are anonymous in the prospectus, and only 2.3% new shares were offered. Minority shareholders have little influence.
    −6
  • Accounting history
    Only nine months of audited history; subsidiaries are consolidated from 1/7/2025 and the rest is pro forma. A normal year cannot be assessed.
    −4
  • Guidance
    The company itself warns of a lower margin in H2 2026 than the 22.1% in H1.
    −4
  • Integration
    Pentaxia was bought in June 2026 and is not yet integrated; CEO Mark Brixey also runs Slingsby, and the central organisation is small.
    −3
  • Share price risk
    +22% above the offer price in the first week, with a small free float and average volume of about 75,000 shares a day. Risk of large price swings.
    −3
  • Macro/currency
    Most operations are in the UK; currency cost 5 percentage points of growth in H1 (14.1% vs 19.4%), and 59% of revenue depends on defence budgets.
    −2

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 2 findings
+4 of +15
  • Broad customer base
    No dominant customer: the largest named one (Boeing) is about 6% of revenue, and customers are tier-1 defence groups and international airlines.
    +2
  • Order book
    Order book of SEK 745m (about 1.3 times annual revenue) on 3–5-year contracts.
    +2

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
Listed 21/9/2026: no own multiple history, only 9 months of audited accounts and pro forma figures; ROIC and purchase prices unknown; no analyst coverage

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