Rankings Commodities & uranium Kemira

Kemira

Commodities & uranium · FinlandRank 371 of 829Prices 3 Nov 2026Model 1.4

A good business with a real question mark: the price, a crack, or both.

Biggest deductions

  • Margin and ROIC−4
  • Quality of growth−4
  • Lowered guidance−4

Strengths

  • No documented strengths.

How the score is built

From 100 to 64, step by step: points off for the business, the price and the cracks, back for documented strengths, then three data adjustments.

100Start
64Score

Hover or select a step to see what drove it. Steps with findings open them below.

Key numbers

As of 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic; read upside as a hint, not a forecast.

Price
15.31 EUR
Median analyst target
17.25 EUR
Upside to median
+12.7%
Analysts
6
Target range
15.00 – 20.00 EUR
52-week change
−20%
P/E (trailing)
19.1
Forward P/E
12.7
PEG
2.86

Findings

Every deduction and every plus, with its source. Open a step to read them.

Business

Is the company getting stronger, not just bigger? · 4 findings
−13 of −30
  • Margin and ROIC
    Operating margin has fallen from 12.3% (2024) via 10.7% (2025) to 9.2% TTM, and ROIC from 13.2% to 9.0%. Operational EBITDA margin was 16.1% in Q2 (19.0% a year earlier) vs the company's own target of 18–21%.
    −4
  • Quality of growth
    Revenue has fallen four years in a row from EUR 3.57bn (2022) to EUR 2.72bn TTM (-4.6% in the latest year), and EPS has fallen 33% to EUR 0.97. Analysts expect only about 3-4% annual growth over the next three years.
    −4
  • Capital allocation
    Buybacks (EUR 190m) and dividend (EUR 112m) totalling EUR 302m TTM exceed FCF of EUR 208m, at the same time as acquisitions for EUR 139m (AquaBlue, SIDRA). Net debt has more than doubled from EUR 292m (2024) to 622m.
    −3
  • Future segment
    Fiber Essentials (537 m EUR, 20% of sales) is bulk chemicals that follow the weak pulp-mill utilization; Packaging & Hygiene (949 m EUR) also depends on the paper industry. Only Water Solutions (45%) has structural tailwinds.
    −2

Price

Today's multiples against the company's own history and its peers. · 3 findings
−5 of −35
  • Multiples vs own history
    Forward P/E 13.5 is at the top of its own history (11.0–13.8 in 2021–2025) and trailing P/E 17.6 vs 9.5–18.9; EV/EBITDA 6.8 in the middle of the range 6.1–8.5. Not cheap vs history on falling earnings.
    −3
  • Peers
    Forward P/E 13.5 and EV/EBITDA 6.8 vs Ecolab 32.5 and 21.2 – a large discount, but Ecolab has far higher margin and growth; the direct competitors Solenis and SNF are unlisted.
    −1
  • Absolute price level
    Market cap EUR 2.48bn, FCF yield 8.4%, earnings yield 5.9% and dividend yield 4.4%: low absolute price level.
    −1

Cracks

Cash flow, customers, debt, insiders, guidance and what sits behind the headline numbers. · 4 findings
−10 of −35
  • Lowered guidance
    On 10/6-2026, 2026 guidance for operating EBITDA was cut from EUR 470–570m to 400–500m vs EUR 524.6m in 2025; operating EBITDA fell 15% in Q2 to EUR 111.7m.
    −4
  • Commodities, freight and pricing power
    Commodity and logistics inflation after the Iran war raises costs by about EUR 100m in 2026, and only about half is expected to be covered by price increases; prices fell at the same time in Q2. Pricing power is limited.
    −3
  • Weak end markets
    Demand in end markets (pulp, paper, industrial water) remains weak due to global uncertainty; consensus is Hold (6 analysts).
    −2
  • Insider trading
    CFO Petri Castrén sold 15,752 shares on 5/3-2026; no insider buying in 2026 (the latest CEO purchase was 2,785 shares in April 2025).
    −1

Plus

Only documented strengths. · 0 findings
±0 of +15
  • No findings recorded.

Caveats

What the score does not capture, or where the data is weak.
Figures through Q2 2026 (TTM June 2026); Q3 comes 23/10-2026. The revenue decline from 2023 is partly due to the sale of the Oil & Mining business in 2024 (EUR 144m). Specialty chemicals (water and paper chemicals) do not fit the industry list precisely; placed under Commodities & uranium like BASF and Solvay. Not marked cyclical, as water treatment is stable demand, but the margin follows raw material and freight prices. Peers (Solenis, SNF) are unlisted.

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